Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.191697 0.207400 0.224027 0.242984 0.264049 0.286796 0.313293
2026-01-04 0.166884 0.189657 0.215352 0.246682 0.284110 0.327713 0.382830
2026-01-11 0.149673 0.176052 0.207189 0.247053 0.297318 0.359391 0.443108
2026-01-18 0.134684 0.162559 0.196600 0.241853 0.301388 0.378433 0.488048
2026-01-25 0.122094 0.150430 0.185997 0.234753 0.301200 0.390663 0.523961
2026-02-01 0.112807 0.141505 0.178402 0.230379 0.303500 0.405579 0.564359
2026-02-08 0.104550 0.133176 0.170751 0.224954 0.303367 0.416431 0.599314
2026-02-15 0.097980 0.126565 0.164802 0.221182 0.304902 0.429370 0.638415
2026-02-22 0.094380 0.123685 0.163660 0.223971 0.316035 0.457470 0.704949
2026-03-01 0.089893 0.119251 0.159973 0.222631 0.320595 0.475493 0.756627
2026-03-08 0.085340 0.114434 0.155388 0.219519 0.321969 0.488257 0.800431
2026-03-15 0.080747 0.109296 0.150006 0.214748 0.320176 0.495375 0.834554
2026-03-22 0.079015 0.108304 0.150801 0.219819 0.335194 0.533272 0.933684
2026-03-29 0.076730 0.106383 0.150096 0.222477 0.346465 0.565977 1.028534
2026-04-05 0.074032 0.103686 0.148021 0.222711 0.353508 0.591664 1.113239
2026-04-12 0.070428 0.099426 0.143266 0.218144 0.351605 0.600198 1.162147
2026-04-19 0.066722 0.094838 0.137751 0.211919 0.346159 0.601226 1.194226
2026-04-26 0.063803 0.091339 0.133789 0.208082 0.344755 0.610043 1.245873
2026-05-03 0.060888 0.087720 0.129455 0.203319 0.341210 0.614089 1.286666
2026-05-10 0.058462 0.084771 0.126069 0.200005 0.340141 0.623118 1.341478
2026-05-17 0.057336 0.083839 0.125940 0.202455 0.350410 0.657302 1.468029
2026-05-24 0.055578 0.081813 0.123884 0.201278 0.353369 0.675833 1.556295
2026-05-31 0.053632 0.079405 0.121076 0.198543 0.352946 0.686701 1.625268